Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c2efa1d7f4eccd77e63902926edcb50fc7db45699a2b485db306e189a21fad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,643 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 7,098$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.73 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 37c | 4,170$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.78 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 3,976$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 38c | 1,888$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 30c | 1,249$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.18 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 40c | 730.47$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.19 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 37c | 454.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 33c | 381.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Over | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 28c | 146.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 145.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 132.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 21c | 122.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 114.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afc…b74dbacked Over | 40c | 38.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 76c | 30.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…85cabacked Over | 37c | 27.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 70c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 77c | 21.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 63c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Under | 64c | 16.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.