Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb49f1b89f5b44224ff8db7a3cd4f346c093e5bfe02f6322077879f567b4939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,916 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 3,589$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.38 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 3,461$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 65c | 2,310$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.5 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…7468backed Over | 66c | 1,513$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 27c | 1,249$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.21 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 30c | 999.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.37 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…4273backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 10c | 442.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 393.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 316.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 314.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 61c | 163.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 140.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 25c | 104$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 23c | 87.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 32c | 81.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 63c | 79.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 70c | 63.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 70c | 59.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 37.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…521cbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.