South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4a90e162c898e329406b98cdb4529cbcc1e0ab848d3231bdedafb3f4f2a768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,899$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,205$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 1,171$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.1 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 18c | 1,080$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.41 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 41c | 704.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 14c | 527.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 509.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 507.84$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…196abacked Yes | 60c | 497.7$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 31c | 299.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 18c | 216.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 18c | 204.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 43c | 200.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…f88fbacked Yes | 58c | 183.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 38c | 136.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 58c | 117.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed No | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 18c | 81.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 51c | 79.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 68.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed No | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…f29cbacked Yes | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed No | 54c | 51.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes | 59c | 40.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 31c | 37.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 56c | 23.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed No | 60c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…ffe2backed Yes | 61c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.