Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Tiafoe vs Atmane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5fa8d0adc16a848f2e0eaa55f5acc63cd9a56afea53063d14633921a652837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atmaneof Tiafoe, Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tiafoe | 54c | 297.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…9f14backed Atmane | 33c | 286.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…41f1backed Atmane | 43c | 230.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tiafoe | 67c | 227.69$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atmane | 39c | 135.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Tiafoe | 61c | 135.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Tiafoe | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Tiafoe | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tiafoe | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Atmane | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tiafoe | 50c | 90.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atmane | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Atmane | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atmane | 20c | 72.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Tiafoe | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tiafoe | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Atmane | 44c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Tiafoe | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 107 | 78.5%84 W · 23 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Tiafoe vs Atmanethis page
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Terence Atmane: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs AtmaneTiafoe won
- Set 4 Winner: Tiafoe vs AtmaneTiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Tiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-2.5) vs Atmane (+2.5)Atmane won
- Tiafoe vs. Atmane: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence AtmaneYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence AtmaneFrances Tiafoe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.