CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6c4a57ad2dc4c155e3fa22c2d0e4f7d407169830412cf8fea6562fef720158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof G2 Ares, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons Force | 47c | 5,394$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked G2 Ares | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed G2 Ares | 55c | 1,840$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.74 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Falcons Force | 65c | 1,207$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 35c | 911.6$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked G2 Ares | 37c | 668.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed G2 Ares | 55c | 608.78$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.57 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 68c | 586.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…5d39backed G2 Ares | 31c | 465.28$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked G2 Ares | 55c | 451.16$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…41d9backed Falcons Force | 45c | 411.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed G2 Ares | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed G2 Ares | 55c | 297.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked G2 Ares | 33c | 259.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ad…b47dbacked G2 Ares | 9c | 176.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Falcons Force | 70c | 162.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked G2 Ares | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed G2 Ares | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Falcons Force | 72c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 64c | 100.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed G2 Ares | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed G2 Ares | 56c | 97.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Falcons Force | 68c | 65.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed G2 Ares | 36c | 62.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 58c | 60.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Falcons Force | 68c | 58.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed G2 Ares | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Falcons Force | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Falcons Force | 39c | 45.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Falcons Force | 78c | 45.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked G2 Ares | 53c | 38.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed G2 Ares | 55c | 37.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Falcons Force | 41c | 31.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed Falcons Force | 46c | 30.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed G2 Ares | 54c | 30.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed G2 Ares | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9f06backed Falcons Force | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Falcons Force | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 68c | 25.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Falcons Force | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Falcons Force | 63c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked G2 Ares | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Falcons Force | 76c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…9a36backed Falcons Force | 69c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force - Map 1 WinnerFalcons Force won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerFalcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.