Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Gibraltar vs Norway
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cda4c1258282839c90954fc7708aeb69feba32dec001a039725ec8e70733064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Gibraltar, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gibraltar | 11c | 7,690$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.29 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Gibraltar | 10c | 2,029$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Gibraltar | 5c | 1,345$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Gibraltar | 4c | 1,274$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Gibraltar | 13c | 1,164$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Norway | 74c | 955.27$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Gibraltar | 12c | 612.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gibraltar | 25c | 482$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Gibraltar | 23c | 257.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Norway | 71c | 217.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Norway | 76c | 206.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Gibraltar | 13c | 206.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gibraltar | 18c | 183.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Gibraltar | 6c | 176$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Gibraltar | 30c | 171.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gibraltar | 18c | 165.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Gibraltar | 10c | 139$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Gibraltar | 18c | 128.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Gibraltar | 15c | 114.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Gibraltar | 10c | 112.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Gibraltar | 33c | 101.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Gibraltar | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Norway | 80c | 81.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gibraltar | 20c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Norway | 74c | 64.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Gibraltar | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Gibraltar | 30c | 59.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Gibraltar | 24c | 52.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Gibraltar | 27c | 45.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Gibraltar | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Norway | 79c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Norway | 73c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Norway | 79c | 18.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Norway | 78c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.