Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Arad Men: Valentin Vanta vs Leonardo Angeloni
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da1ce64049e23703010331e74a46ca2ea00e6717487be9619664b60286f8821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leonardo Angeloniof Valentin Vanta, Leonardo Angeloni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb82…f6babacked Leonardo Angeloni | 63c | 997.89$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Valentin Vanta | 37c | 450$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Valentin Vanta | 37c | 189.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Valentin Vanta | 39c | 167.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Valentin Vanta | 37c | 157$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Valentin Vanta | 45c | 58.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valentin Vanta | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valentin Vanta | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Valentin Vanta | 37c | 30.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Leonardo Angeloni | 50c | 29.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Arad Men: Valentin Vanta vs Leonardo Angelonithis page
- ITF M15 Arad Men: Completed Match: Valentin Vanta vs Leonardo AngeloniYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.