Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Rei Sakamoto vs Jules Leroux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcb0236acd2ce0aa0648624952ecb3cdc2278986d437a3b5ee5deb75de8a5e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rei Sakamotoof Rei Sakamoto, Jules Leroux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Jules Leroux | 12c | 9,847$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jules Leroux | 9c | 6,755$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jules Leroux | 5c | 5,781$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.11 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jules Leroux | 13c | 1,577$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Jules Leroux | 10c | 1,350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…675fbacked Jules Leroux | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Jules Leroux | 15c | 938.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jules Leroux | 3c | 680.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…1a51backed Jules Leroux | 4c | 566.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Jules Leroux | 24c | 473.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jules Leroux | 9c | 362.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Jules Leroux | 11c | 313.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jules Leroux | 20c | 299.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…56f6backed Jules Leroux | 10c | 291.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jules Leroux | 10c | 256.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…962bbacked Jules Leroux | 14c | 250.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Jules Leroux | 21c | 214.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jules Leroux | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jules Leroux | 15c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Jules Leroux | 6c | 193.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Jules Leroux | 10c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jules Leroux | 7c | 170.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Jules Leroux | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed Jules Leroux | 10c | 130.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Rei Sakamoto | 79c | 127.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Jules Leroux | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Jules Leroux | 16c | 102.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Jules Leroux | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Rei Sakamoto | 76c | 37.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Rei Sakamoto | 80c | 26.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.