NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcbdea41c3561dcf2151adf2c8b2d11693e991e8de4517cae727bac6e66c62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,844 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 2,371$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 56c | 1,538$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.51 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 44c | 1,315$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.14 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,308$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.05 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 47c | 1,260$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.91 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 66c | 571.26$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 55c | 537.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 531.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 45c | 494.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 46c | 279.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 237.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 58c | 235.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 85.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 33c | 58.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 74c | 45.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 44c | 36.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 35.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 78c | 14.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. KrakenPredators won
- Predators vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.