Tennis · resolved market
ITF Knokke-Heist: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Sarah Van Emst
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dce6a9c7821c89794c7026c75691fa82814ebf988fba2fe446fb6ad13cfda11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarah Van Emstof Maria Martinez Vaquero, Sarah Van Emst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sarah Van Emst | 54c | 2,091$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.33 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sarah Van Emst | 54c | 2,043$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.68 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 44c | 1,976$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.76 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 52c | 1,261$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.66 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 29c | 767.59$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 45c | 208.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 38c | 113.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Sarah Van Emst | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sarah Van Emst | 61c | 82.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sarah Van Emst | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 46c | 74.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sarah Van Emst | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sarah Van Emst | 49c | 60.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Sarah Van Emst | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 38c | 38.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Sarah Van Emst | 56c | 35.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Sarah Van Emst | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 41c | 29.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 38c | 26.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sarah Van Emst | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Sarah Van Emst | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Sarah Van Emst | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Sarah Van Emst | 64c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…aadebacked Sarah Van Emst | 61c | 22.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sarah Van Emst | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sarah Van Emst | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sarah Van Emst | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sarah Van Emst | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sarah Van Emst | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.