Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de8bf5022749fb44e6098be3fd228e0bbe8ff0d72d8d6c1c492d0cac6affb7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Landaluce, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Landaluce | 49c | 1,178$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Fritz | 63c | 470.58$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Fritz | 55c | 393.16$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…8d49backed Fritz | 30c | 302.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fritz | 41c | 230$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Landaluce | 45c | 216.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Landaluce | 36c | 190.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Landaluce | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fritz | 39c | 163.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Fritz | 65c | 153.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Landaluce | 35c | 153.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fritz | 9c | 129$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fritz | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fritz | 54c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Landaluce | 61c | 73.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fritz | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Landaluce | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fritz | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Fritz | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Fritz | 55c | 43.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Landaluce | 49c | 41.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f923backed Fritz | 61c | 40.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Fritz | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Fritz | 54c | 33.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Fritz | 65c | 25.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Fritz | 55c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Landaluce | 71c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritzthis page
- Landaluce vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)Landaluce won
- Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.