Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce4f17c65b5e31741d6fe07909da045eaa9950d42cb213a57014e21c64f3210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Fritz, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Landaluce | 55c | 765.89$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Fritz | 49c | 601.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Fritz | 53c | 569.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Landaluce | 50c | 385.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.91 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Fritz | 43c | 300.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Fritz | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Landaluce | 56c | 219.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Landaluce | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Fritz | 44c | 203.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Landaluce | 55c | 164.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Landaluce | 55c | 137.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Fritz | 44c | 80.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Landaluce | 62c | 78.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…5495backed Fritz | 27c | 66.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Landaluce | 71c | 52.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Landaluce | 59c | 52.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Landaluce | 57c | 44.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Landaluce | 55c | 43.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Landaluce | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fritz | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Landaluce vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs FritzLandaluce won
- Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.