Tennis · resolved market
Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b852eeff0358f1b1bbc6a498fdf1246c79614f4fa08095a708e7d17accaece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 51c | 617.63$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.64 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 439.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 334.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 304.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under 2.5 | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over 2.5 | 58c | 294.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 279.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 213.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Under 2.5 | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under 2.5 | 11c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…dc56backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 70.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under 2.5 | 30c | 53.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over 2.5 | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 52.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 51.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…20c4backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over 2.5 | 59c | 24.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…1a49backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 23.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Over 2.5 | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Landaluce vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs FritzLandaluce won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)Landaluce won
- Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.