Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7def4b552e1406968f8e957b86426ee0acaf393e6da7e70076fcab55a53691aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof REKONIX, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,356 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed REKONIX | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 72c | 9,657$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.37 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 25c | 5,005$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.49 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 27c | 4,611$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.51 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 21c | 3,949$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.46 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 22c | 3,911$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.01 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked REKONIX | 11c | 2,472$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 2,384$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.94 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed REKONIX | 32c | 2,377$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.16 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked REKONIX | 27c | 2,099$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.59 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 76c | 1,782$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.43 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked REKONIX | 16c | 690.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 26c | 597.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked REKONIX | 9c | 500.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 20c | 495.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 495.24$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 23c | 446.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed REKONIX | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed REKONIX | 28c | 358.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 21c | 293.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX | 15c | 251.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 69c | 218.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked REKONIX | 13c | 216.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 79c | 201.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Yandex | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…5cf4backed Team Yandex | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Team Yandex | 79c | 95.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 32c | 92.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2454…89cbbacked REKONIX | 25c | 86.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 21c | 75.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 23c | 52.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed REKONIX | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked REKONIX | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex | 80c | 46.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed REKONIX | 24c | 46.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Yandex | 75c | 43.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…90a9backed Team Yandex | 68c | 43.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked REKONIX | 34c | 37.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Team Yandex | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed Team Yandex | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Team Yandex | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…d36fbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.