Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed071c51321d550a63f6fde0882303d853f86de1c74b6a37bb47ef0333c650b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof REKONIX, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,561 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8929…733ebacked REKONIX | 15c | 1,440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 21c | 1,304$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.89 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed REKONIX | 11c | 709.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Yandex | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed REKONIX | 21c | 475$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed REKONIX | 11c | 434.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed REKONIX | 24c | 417.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed REKONIX | 20c | 411.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REKONIX | 18c | 372.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 360.84$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked REKONIX | 18c | 360.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 14c | 346.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Team Yandex | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Team Yandex | 77c | 129.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked REKONIX | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked REKONIX | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed REKONIX | 21c | 86.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 14c | 79.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed REKONIX | 19c | 65.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Team Yandex | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed REKONIX | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.