Tennis · resolved market
ITF Martos: Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Carles Hernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfa9c12039bbc23c908594ab460fda173ce3eb5bed0158cb4ef2bee440b596b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carles Hernandezof Noah Lopez Cherubino, Carles Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carles Hernandez | 75c | 4,407$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.56 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 18c | 1,080$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 19c | 1,070$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 19c | 1,005$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 19c | 1,000$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 18c | 961.32$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.92 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 18c | 959.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 19c | 915.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 25c | 802$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.62 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 37c | 513.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Carles Hernandez | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Carles Hernandez | 63c | 442.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 57c | 403.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 19c | 390$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 29c | 372.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 40c | 244.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 20c | 238.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Carles Hernandez | 63c | 183.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 55c | 182.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carles Hernandez | 47c | 164.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carles Hernandez | 47c | 160.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Carles Hernandez | 63c | 157.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 16c | 133.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Carles Hernandez | 61c | 118.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Carles Hernandez | 79c | 117.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Carles Hernandez | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 16c | 63.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carles Hernandez | 73c | 61.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…3b2ebacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 65c | 56.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Carles Hernandez | 57c | 33.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carles Hernandez | 67c | 27.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Carles Hernandez | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Carles Hernandez | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.