South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8286803224ded99f2e5bcfc23014c936129ae544b23bdec5a1e4e188af5b7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 34c | 11,614$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.82 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 33c | 4,557$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.75 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 3,300$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 2,893$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,213$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,884$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 1,725$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,650$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,531$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 9c | 1,261$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 68c | 1,050$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 10c | 933.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 897.3$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…4e96backed Yes | 8c | 640.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 576.31$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed Yes | 2c | 560.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 362.94$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…de8ebacked Yes | 10c | 317.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 229.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 208.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 67c | 185$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 31c | 174.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed Yes | 32c | 162.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…7780backed Yes | 8c | 146.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 68c | 143.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 66c | 125.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Yes | 33c | 124.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e44…9b22backed Yes | 33c | 124.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 10c | 124.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 13c | 110.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 77c | 77.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 68c | 74.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 76c | 73.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 75c | 73.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 69.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 66c | 67.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 75c | 67.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 66c | 46.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 74c | 43.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 74c | 41.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 72c | 38.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 70c | 35.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed No | 70c | 32.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 68c | 32.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1f…feb5backed No | 66c | 21.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked No | 76c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.