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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6832…831fbacked Yes14c1,833$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.868740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No66c1,450$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4934153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c945.86$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.921,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c774.69$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.641,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes35c766.84$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.181735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c697.64$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…9080backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes34c494.3$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.061,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes32c467.28$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.89562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes36c461.79$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c387.85$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.191,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No65c373.29$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes10c367.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.278444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c355.14$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.791,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c353.53$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.322,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c307.14$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.461,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…710bbacked Yes36c269.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Yes12c248.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-79.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No50c236.34$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.369727.8%27 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2931745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes52c223.73$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.341154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes43c218.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.987839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Yes54c214.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c210.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.643,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes52c207.31$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.839127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c202.21$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.111,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9187…4309backed Yes48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c200.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc861…f0fabacked Yes11c177.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.36142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes12c163.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.334032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No54c153.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes39c142.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.665832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c142.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.718,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.646657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Yes35c107.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No62c93.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6551654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.564738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9943…a363backed Yes47c93.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.561866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No79c91.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.842853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes58c90.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2740442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c85.59$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c83.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0132936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes35c82.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.838149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes37c75.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.663444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes20c73.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.358137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes64c71.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9113373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c71.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes43c67.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9713814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No64c60.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.844568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No66c59.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5716255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes46c57.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c56.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8146…fe66backed Yes38c50.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.266943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd077…85ecbacked Yes52c50.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes40c50.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9815651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5b…6a05backed Yes55c50.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Yes37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.652564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44425%11 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes37c39.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.494566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed No65c37.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No66c36.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.473050%15 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes40c36.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.463063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c34.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.371,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c02…44e5backed Yes52c33.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No67c32.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No53c31.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8924654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.016855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c6…97ebbacked No64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No67c29.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5818859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes39c27.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.821637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No64c26.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.674374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No67c25.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.538268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes48c21.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.496955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed No68c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.895362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No68c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.893764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No63c20.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.474858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b59…db3fbacked Yes54c19.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No68c18.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.918961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No71c17.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1110456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No62c17.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.475549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No65c16.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7715654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No68c14.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7226160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.