Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec342e918e37593c131c23cc3f8da6014a3c928b2827d183b464788bc1a8a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…ab88backed Yes | 48c | 1,266$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…2d75backed Yes | 47c | 816.07$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 417.45$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 409.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 51c | 318.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 48c | 287.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 53c | 245.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 219.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 207.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 51c | 188.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 52c | 116.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 47c | 100.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…98bebacked Yes | 28c | 82.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 46c | 79.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 47c | 62.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…38acbacked Yes | 49c | 38.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 51c | 28.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…5090backed Yes | 51c | 28.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC leading at halftime?this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.