Tennis · resolved market
ITF Santa Fe: Antonia Rivera vs Krisha Mahendran
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef9c4d5d52ebffa0b85ad8d3dba44fc04a40fa08e97ca22a19ad85ad95f0183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krisha Mahendranof Antonia Rivera, Krisha Mahendran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Antonia Rivera | 36c | 8,176$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.87 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Krisha Mahendran | 66c | 2,116$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.5 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Krisha Mahendran | 58c | 1,904$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Antonia Rivera | 42c | 1,904$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Krisha Mahendran | 65c | 1,817$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.47 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Krisha Mahendran | 69c | 938.83$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Krisha Mahendran | 67c | 897.08$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Antonia Rivera | 36c | 867.04$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Krisha Mahendran | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Krisha Mahendran | 66c | 398.36$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Antonia Rivera | 32c | 377$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Antonia Rivera | 56c | 173.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Krisha Mahendran | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Krisha Mahendran | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Antonia Rivera | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Krisha Mahendran | 42c | 99.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Krisha Mahendran | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Krisha Mahendran | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Krisha Mahendran | 68c | 67.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Krisha Mahendran | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Krisha Mahendran | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Krisha Mahendran | 70c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…c6a1backed Krisha Mahendran | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Antonia Rivera | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Krisha Mahendran | 58c | 38.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Antonia Rivera | 58c | 33.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Krisha Mahendran | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Krisha Mahendran | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Krisha Mahendran | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Antonia Rivera | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Antonia Rivera | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Krisha Mahendran | 66c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.