NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. 76ers Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f1f6de51dbf6b7c651a07d5e4642a8616d7f4abadba1cea0117ce6e93b422ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed 76ers | 15c | 3,556$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.67 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.04 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Knicks | 69c | 944$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed 76ers | 37c | 840.38$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers | 31c | 807.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked 76ers | 27c | 754.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.08 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 76ers | 30c | 547.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed 76ers | 20c | 504.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed 76ers | 23c | 400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Knicks | 80c | 310$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Knicks | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed 76ers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…9b44backed Knicks | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Knicks | 80c | 178$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked 76ers | 53c | 165.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…a540backed Knicks | 78c | 124.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed 76ers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Knicks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…a528backed Knicks | 78c | 27.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.