MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f31600bf86a618c91094d351e50097b3d6dccf7acf323660ea0e48755289bc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 71c | 5,751$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.76 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 19c | 4,662$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 29c | 4,655$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.95 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4fddbacked Brewers | 72c | 4,462$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 29c | 4,054$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.59 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 28c | 2,654$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Brewers | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed White Sox | 31c | 191.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Brewers | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed White Sox | 28c | 141$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 72c | 125.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Brewers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked White Sox | 30c | 73.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Brewers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed White Sox | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed White Sox | 31c | 48.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked White Sox | 31c | 44.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Brewers | 69c | 37.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Brewers | 71c | 35.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked White Sox | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Brewers | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Brewers | 70c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.