Fifa International · resolved market
France to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f32c5278d3f6fae958a93a5b37cfa6331333a8c3713ad6caa928d5aaeacd5ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 19c | 6,652$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.3 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…7fd4backed Yes | 78c | 6,411$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 22c | 4,857$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.98 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked No | 17c | 3,426$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 79c | 904.46$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 19c | 904$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 22c | 805.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 79c | 617.28$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 572.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 510.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 17c | 452.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…8cffbacked Yes | 79c | 373.42$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 20c | 368.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 20c | 353.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…9abcbacked Yes | 80c | 285.4$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 18c | 220.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 19c | 216.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 22c | 148.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…b4c3backed Yes | 80c | 133.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…9144backed Yes | 77c | 129.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…a059backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffb…2581backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 19c | 123.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 121.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 22c | 114.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…75d2backed Yes | 78c | 109.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…9ed6backed Yes | 79c | 100.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 24c | 88.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…63edbacked Yes | 78c | 71.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 78c | 65.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 24c | 61.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Yes | 77c | 60.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…ef9ebacked Yes | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…1c4fbacked Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…d4b5backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 79c | 38.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Yes | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…401cbacked Yes | 80c | 30.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 79c | 19.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…b2adbacked Yes | 79c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…9fc0backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…56afbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…acdebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to win the second half?this page
- France vs. Iraq: Second half draw?No won
- Iraq to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.