Tennis · resolved market
ITF Leipzig: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Ida Wobker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f646a72d45754037a97917f481b04fd65b3767a421971988be44e257bcbda01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ida Wobkerof Aurora Zantedeschi, Ida Wobker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 29c | 4,815$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.36 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 5c | 1,697$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 23c | 874.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 35c | 318.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 55c | 255.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 59c | 253.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 47c | 179.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 10c | 177.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Ida Wobker | 60c | 165.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Ida Wobker | 70c | 156.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…b0efbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 35c | 107.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 34c | 98.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Ida Wobker | 60c | 88.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 32c | 74.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Ida Wobker | 71c | 70.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 36c | 53.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 58c | 50.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 29c | 46.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ida Wobker | 42c | 44.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ida Wobker | 56c | 33.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Ida Wobker | 67c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Ida Wobker | 73c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Ida Wobker | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.