Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f66e6e6472258d0ff9a8b26592b6de11ca76c54f74a5e62318ef536863ea3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Glory FCof Melbourne City FC, Perth Glory FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Perth Glory FC | 76c | 1,866$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.77 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Melbourne City FC | 24c | 1,725$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.59 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Melbourne City FC | 36c | 359.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Perth Glory FC | 64c | 351.16$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Melbourne City FC | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Perth Glory FC | 67c | 124$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Perth Glory FC | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Perth Glory FC | 76c | 90.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Perth Glory FC | 65c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Perth Glory FC | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +103%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Perth Glory FC | 65c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Perth Glory FC | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Perth Glory FC | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Perth Glory FC | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Perth Glory FC | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Perth Glory FC | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Melbourne City FC | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Melbourne City FC | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Melbourne City FC | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.