Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anhelina Kalinina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9c122977f4e2400e5914add12301278fd23aaa76bcd0926b7ca62050e64844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anhelina Kalininaof Marina Bassols Ribera, Anhelina Kalinina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 9c | 5,497$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 20c | 2,296$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 19c | 1,583$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 2c | 933.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 12c | 531.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 371.49$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 308.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 10c | 301.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 18c | 260.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 167.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 264 | 57.6%152 W · 112 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 115.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 106.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 86.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…d227backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 86.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 86.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 45.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 16.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 14.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anhelina Kalininathis page
- Marina Bassols Ribera vs. Anhelina Kalinina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Ribera vs. Kalinina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Ribera (+1.5)Kalinina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.