Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Tom Sickenberger vs Yannik Kelm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fbaf47ebbc8e1332b8b155a6eb57a2119df1837162072251e309faa516a1819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tom Sickenbergerof Tom Sickenberger, Yannik Kelm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tom Sickenberger | 17c | 6,906$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tom Sickenberger | 17c | 831.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tom Sickenberger | 50c | 489.9$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…48babacked Yannik Kelm | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tom Sickenberger | 16c | 274.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Yannik Kelm | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yannik Kelm | 74c | 209.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tom Sickenberger | 41c | 181.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Tom Sickenberger | 37c | 141.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Tom Sickenberger | 33c | 125.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Tom Sickenberger | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Tom Sickenberger | 21c | 91.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yannik Kelm | 74c | 75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yannik Kelm | 66c | 68.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Tom Sickenberger | 31c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Yannik Kelm | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yannik Kelm | 63c | 43.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yannik Kelm | 75c | 35.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yannik Kelm | 77c | 30.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tom Sickenberger | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Yannik Kelm | 76c | 24.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Yannik Kelm | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yannik Kelm | 74c | 20.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Tom Sickenberger | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Yannik Kelm | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…27d4backed Tom Sickenberger | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.