Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd483083f776d8c22fe7e6b0d59f4a936e2be4358016a72833ea853304ef00c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed NRG Esports | 70c | 1,306$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.8 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Winthrop University | 30c | 960.28$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University | 38c | 686.65$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NRG Esports | 75c | 663.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Winthrop University | 5c | 499.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Winthrop University | 26c | 351.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Winthrop University | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked NRG Esports | 77c | 300.45$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Esports | 74c | 269.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Winthrop University | 28c | 100.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Winthrop University | 41c | 59.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NRG Esports | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NRG Esports | 56c | 30.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NRG Esports | 73c | 29.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Winthrop University | 44c | 25.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG Esports | 71c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.