Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9c76059c92d12b7e95a9133c96f3c55c23398f24391be362571b3ad531595e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed NRG Esports | 78c | 999.98$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Winthrop University | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Winthrop University | 21c | 457.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Winthrop University | 19c | 285.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Winthrop University | 21c | 247.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Winthrop University | 8c | 235.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Winthrop University | 16c | 144.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Winthrop University | 17c | 134.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Winthrop University | 22c | 119.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Winthrop University | 21c | 95.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed NRG Esports | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…4b1cbacked Winthrop University | 21c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked NRG Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed NRG Esports | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NRG Esports | 80c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.