South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff4c0211575e86c0bc7343bd9fb40df3dffafa27bf043e6a2658e414751f866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Bull Bragantinoof Red Bull Bragantino, Clube do Remo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Red Bull Bragantino | 28c | 1,723$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.79 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Red Bull Bragantino | 34c | 892.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Red Bull Bragantino | 38c | 749.42$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.43 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Clube do Remo | 62c | 645.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Red Bull Bragantino | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Red Bull Bragantino | 22c | 499.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Clube do Remo | 62c | 485.05$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clube do Remo | 68c | 452.58$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Red Bull Bragantino | 30c | 353.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Clube do Remo | 70c | 350.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Clube do Remo | 9c | 299.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Clube do Remo | 66c | 280.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.16 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Clube do Remo | 69c | 247.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Red Bull Bragantino | 79c | 192.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Red Bull Bragantino | 38c | 188.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Clube do Remo | 71c | 164.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Bull Bragantino | 28c | 101.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Clube do Remo | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Red Bull Bragantino | 38c | 96.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clube do Remo | 62c | 94.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Clube do Remo | 64c | 82.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Clube do Remo | 74c | 80.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Clube do Remo | 62c | 74.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Clube do Remo | 19c | 73.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Clube do Remo | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Clube do Remo | 64c | 60.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Red Bull Bragantino | 75c | 52.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Clube do Remo | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Clube do Remo | 53c | 45.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Clube do Remo | 38c | 35.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Clube do Remo | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Red Bull Bragantino | 39c | 31.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Clube do Remo | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Red Bull Bragantino | 54c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Clube do Remo | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Clube do Remo | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Clube do Remo | 68c | 16.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.