South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc008d717527ee3b4cb16c089f818d27519846bcb5052f3109bb58f09f0fcc4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 73c | 2,709$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.15 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 23c | 2,633$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.61 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 989.54$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 53c | 919.38$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.85 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 11c | 892.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.21 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 77c | 861.61$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.17 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 820.57$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 683.96$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.21 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 55c | 445.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 78c | 290$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 264.48$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 78c | 228.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 58c | 191.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 69c | 157.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 125.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 63c | 121.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Over | 11c | 118.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 77c | 102.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 23c | 96.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 21c | 90.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 23c | 88.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 79.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 62c | 73.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 72.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 78c | 68.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 55.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 79c | 50.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 26c | 47.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.