Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Yidi Yang vs Chenting Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805cd27357091f08abcbf85f9ace0d9d5e68270c5292623e4e57cfc1644e7a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chenting Zhuof Yidi Yang, Chenting Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa107…e6a1backed Yidi Yang | 59c | 8,839$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chenting Zhu | 43c | 8,235$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yidi Yang | 55c | 900$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Yidi Yang | 65c | 659.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chenting Zhu | 39c | 547.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.99 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chenting Zhu | 47c | 437.61$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chenting Zhu | 41c | 405.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.66 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Chenting Zhu | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chenting Zhu | 71c | 153.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chenting Zhu | 42c | 139.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Chenting Zhu | 25c | 122.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Chenting Zhu | 41c | 105.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chenting Zhu | 41c | 97.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Chenting Zhu | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Chenting Zhu | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Chenting Zhu | 38c | 63.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Chenting Zhu | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Yidi Yang | 60c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chenting Zhu | 36c | 47.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chenting Zhu | 39c | 38.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Chenting Zhu | 40c | 33.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Yidi Yang | 63c | 23.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Yidi Yang | 62c | 18.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chenting Zhu | 73c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.