Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Hanfmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8060fe3e5c07cb47ddaa4d63db36d9153b568d6bb3e11805fa3234da2bff6965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanfmannof Cobolli, Hanfmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cobolli | 35c | 871.55$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cobolli | 36c | 854.18$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hanfmann | 44c | 649.4$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.35 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 51c | 548$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hanfmann | 64c | 476.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hanfmann | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,141 | 47.2%539 W · 602 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hanfmann | 63c | 410.72$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Cobolli | 25c | 392.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Hanfmann | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Hanfmann | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…81f8backed Hanfmann | 79c | 149.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Cobolli | 55c | 136.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanfmann | 64c | 130.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Hanfmann | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Cobolli | 43c | 112.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 669 | 38.3%256 W · 413 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Hanfmann | 49c | 103.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cobolli | 51c | 82.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Cobolli | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Hanfmann | 36c | 52.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abf…e301backed Cobolli | 56c | 51.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…7ba8backed Hanfmann | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…632abacked Cobolli | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Hanfmann | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hanfmann | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 742 | 46.4%344 W · 398 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Hanfmann | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Hanfmannthis page
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Yannick Hanfmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- National Bank Open: Completed Match: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick HanfmannYes won
- National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick HanfmannYannick Hanfmann won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs HanfmannHanfmann won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)Hanfmann won
- Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Hanfmann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.