Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80657318bc993edb62930831513c707c4a8485af08e178b4685ade45167ae88e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 1,754$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.95 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 46c | 1,272$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.04 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 53c | 699.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 661.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 446$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.89 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 401.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 58c | 310.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 19c | 260$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 38c | 245$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 42c | 197.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 41c | 143.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 37c | 119$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 57c | 87.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 87.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 41c | 39.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 30.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.