Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Martina Trevisan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8068b41e78e0d4aa3d55fb4488b4f7ed31fd5c3623046f0b385a4d613faf1af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhangof Zhang, Trevisan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Trevisan | 22c | 10,053$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zhang | 75c | 8,422$6,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.94 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zhang | 76c | 4,164$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.74 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trevisan | 25c | 3,088$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Trevisan | 35c | 2,471$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.01 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Trevisan | 19c | 2,468$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.26 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhang | 75c | 2,382$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Zhang | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Zhang | 78c | 1,100$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Zhang | 78c | 795.83$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Trevisan | 16c | 744$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Trevisan | 16c | 627.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Trevisan | 17c | 526.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Trevisan | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Zhang | 74c | 383.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Trevisan | 23c | 362.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Zhang | 71c | 349.89$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Trevisan | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zhang | 75c | 259$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Trevisan | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Trevisan | 36c | 232.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Trevisan | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Trevisan | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trevisan | 11c | 184.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Trevisan | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Zhang | 80c | 86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Zhang | 80c | 69.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang | 78c | 46.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Trevisan | 26c | 44.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Zhang | 70c | 35.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zhang | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Zhang | 71c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Zhang | 77c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.