Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a5d95c863f07c0664e113e310cb163d026fcd77e2e26096749d4975167d724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 34c | 423.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 259.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 66c | 227.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 54c | 182.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 34c | 162.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 66c | 136.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 114.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 67c | 64.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Over | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 44.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 65c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…021ebacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 0.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.