Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Uwinks (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80adbde06302393210790ac9c12d202034bd7d70ad95d065f883afae53d66fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FENNELof FENNEL, Uwinks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed FENNEL | 73c | 20,704$15,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.64 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Uwinks | 27c | 14,611$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.06 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Uwinks | 27c | 5,605$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.76 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Uwinks | 26c | 1,171$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.13 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked FENNEL | 74c | 1,118$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.17 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Uwinks | 30c | 1,100$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.56 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Uwinks | 26c | 780.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked FENNEL | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked FENNEL | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Uwinks | 16c | 490.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Uwinks | 27c | 474.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Uwinks | 27c | 468.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Uwinks | 27c | 337.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Uwinks | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed FENNEL | 74c | 138.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked FENNEL | 74c | 131.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed FENNEL | 73c | 80.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…98cfbacked FENNEL | 74c | 41.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked FENNEL | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed FENNEL | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FENNEL | 72c | 31.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed FENNEL | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed FENNEL | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed FENNEL | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Uwinks (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Uwinks vs FENNEL (BO3) - LJL Regular SeasonFENNEL won
- LoL: Uwinks vs FENNEL - Game 1 WinnerFENNEL won
- LoL: Uwinks vs FENNEL - Game 2 WinnerFENNEL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.