Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814b26cd2d3835eb3b4cbff0eaad9f34a6f4ec8e43fbc85d6b2bc538563a3302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buseof Buse, Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee3…3a0abacked Buse | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Kovacevic | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kovacevic | 21c | 704.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Buse | 50c | 498.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.79 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kovacevic | 50c | 398.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kovacevic | 46c | 344.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Kovacevic | 49c | 275.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Buse | 55c | 271.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Kovacevic | 47c | 259.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Buse | 55c | 214.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…cb4fbacked Buse | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Kovacevic | 15c | 149.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kovacevic | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kovacevic | 15c | 139$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kovacevic | 49c | 122.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Buse | 51c | 118.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Kovacevic | 45c | 114.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Buse | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Kovacevic | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Kovacevic | 49c | 80.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kovacevic | 47c | 57.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Kovacevic | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Kovacevic | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Kovacevic | 46c | 42.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Kovacevic | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)this page
- Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse won
- Kovacevic vs. Buse: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.