Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Vincent Reisach vs Luc Fomba
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81506a649bc397f7c748c0a75d5a00f734776b150f4b0eaedbc1789fb4e04b07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vincent Reisachof Vincent Reisach, Luc Fomba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x766f…1cb3backed Luc Fomba | 14c | 439.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Luc Fomba | 47c | 302.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vincent Reisach | 55c | 260.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Luc Fomba | 48c | 207.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vincent Reisach | 52c | 198.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luc Fomba | 45c | 151.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Vincent Reisach | 55c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vincent Reisach | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vincent Reisach | 53c | 44.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Vincent Reisach | 55c | 38.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Luc Fomba | 44c | 37.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Vincent Reisach | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Vincent Reisach vs Luc Fombathis page
- ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Completed Match: Vincent Reisach vs Luc FombaNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.