NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8152d005c3f93680a45f90848b12ce714707472b88251203343c73a29d08d643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 521.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Dinamo Minsk | 45c | 270.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Dinamo Minsk | 46c | 193.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 172.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 144.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 136.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…ad86backed Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 134.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Dinamo Minsk | 43c | 132.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 129.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…5117backed Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 121.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 102.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 99.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Dinamo Minsk | 42c | 54.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 49.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…fde8backed Dinamo Minsk | 39c | 49.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 26c | 39.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 39.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Dinamo Minsk | 51c | 38.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 41c | 33.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 30.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 29.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…77f7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3628…de7ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ak Bars Kazan | 62c | 22.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…b796backed Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 75c | 20.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 20.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 18.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.