Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815c8a606088d827b23884d9defe5c37f0764e40686ffad4e6fcbdf9a0d844a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Københavnof FC København, Debreceni VSC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Debreceni VSC | 52c | 781.69$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.69 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked FC København | 35c | 482.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Debreceni VSC | 65c | 461.77$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FC København | 35c | 233.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC København | 34c | 219$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FC København | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Debreceni VSC | 67c | 138.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC København | 73c | 124.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC København | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Debreceni VSC | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked FC København | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Debreceni VSC | 66c | 97.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FC København | 35c | 97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Debreceni VSC | 66c | 96.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC København | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed FC København | 74c | 67.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC København | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked FC København | 55c | 19.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Debreceni VSC | 63c | 16.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.