Europa Conference League · resolved market
Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3ba7dcb2d5a92607a419a290faa89a7fa95e5a80f77fe8879259cfcb68c155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 46c | 524.02$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 477.95$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 417.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 70c | 322.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 258.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 206.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 53c | 188.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 153.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 127.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 54c | 118.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 43c | 82.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 71.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 66.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 45c | 58.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 58.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…56f0backed Over | 53c | 46.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 79c | 39.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 37.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 36.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 45c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 72c | 27.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 59c | 25.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 55c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 72c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: O/U 2.5this page
- Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.