Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Yuliya Perapekhina vs Vlada Mincheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816e24dbb63e76734d459fbc5b59b0a13e7d2060fd1c46b65c91515970a6e328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuliya Perapekhinaof Yuliya Perapekhina, Vlada Mincheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 74c | 2,028$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.11 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Vlada Mincheva | 23c | 953.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vlada Mincheva | 25c | 913.52$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 77c | 572$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vlada Mincheva | 26c | 482$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Vlada Mincheva | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vlada Mincheva | 26c | 286.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 80c | 93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Vlada Mincheva | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Vlada Mincheva | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Vlada Mincheva | 27c | 59.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Vlada Mincheva | 22c | 54.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 78c | 49.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vlada Mincheva | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 74c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.