CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: maybe vs eSuba (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81809aa2e4d70c63535feacdf71f2fdd5c98c340a0dba50523ffa3956a6dc6b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- maybeof maybe, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed eSuba | 26c | 673.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…4414backed eSuba | 44c | 225.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed eSuba | 62c | 224$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked maybe | 71c | 197.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed maybe | 57c | 183$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed maybe | 65c | 136.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed maybe | 66c | 119.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed eSuba | 34c | 86.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed eSuba | 28c | 79.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed maybe | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed maybe | 61c | 57.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed maybe | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed eSuba | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed maybe | 37c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed eSuba | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked eSuba | 52c | 31.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed eSuba | 62c | 30.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked maybe | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked maybe | 64c | 28.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked maybe | 56c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked maybe | 69c | 27.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed maybe | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked maybe | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked maybe | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked maybe | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked maybe | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs eSuba (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs eSuba - Map 2 WinnereSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.