Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dplus vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819e11babbb3a1383435c77c71a889725f1bc6e75b23d0fb8b1b3ead73730d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplusof Dplus, X-CAST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Dplus | 54c | 1,001$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.46 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Dplus | 57c | 591.83$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Dplus | 55c | 522.96$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked X-CAST | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked X-CAST | 45c | 496.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked X-CAST | 47c | 467.85$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed X-CAST | 46c | 360$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed X-CAST | 43c | 344.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed X-CAST | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked X-CAST | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Dplus | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Dplus | 53c | 203.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed X-CAST | 45c | 203.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked X-CAST | 47c | 169.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed X-CAST | 11c | 148.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed X-CAST | 43c | 146.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Dplus | 52c | 143.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Dplus | 55c | 128.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed X-CAST | 46c | 117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Dplus | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 434 | 59.2%257 W · 177 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed X-CAST | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Dplus | 55c | 90.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…7f01backed X-CAST | 23c | 85.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed X-CAST | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…433cbacked Dplus | 78c | 77.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed X-CAST | 21c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 238 | 34%81 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…20e6backed X-CAST | 45c | 70.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked X-CAST | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked X-CAST | 31c | 58.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 404 | 54.7%221 W · 183 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed X-CAST | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 189 | 40.7%77 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed X-CAST | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dplus | 65c | 51.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Dplus | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed X-CAST | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed X-CAST | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed X-CAST | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed X-CAST | 41c | 38.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d8…9f99backed X-CAST | 48c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Dplus | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed X-CAST | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Dplus | 53c | 31.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Dplus | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 277 | 60.6%168 W · 109 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Dplus | 79c | 18.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Dplus | 66c | 18.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dplus | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 206 | 39.8%82 W · 124 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dplus vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Dplus vs X-CAST - Map 1 WinnerDplus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.