Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c347032f8c0a13d00d27664992df7e49662db3cfe22570d31b3772db391a14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Casper Ruudof Alexander Shevchenko, Casper Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,905 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alexander Shevchenko | 8c | 7,222$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.33 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alexander Shevchenko | 17c | 6,571$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.1 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Alexander Shevchenko | 5c | 6,148$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.69 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alexander Shevchenko | 11c | 4,047$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alexander Shevchenko | 19c | 3,000$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.25 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Casper Ruud | 80c | 2,206$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.28 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 2,022$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.27 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alexander Shevchenko | 8c | 1,189$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Alexander Shevchenko | 17c | 913.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Alexander Shevchenko | 2c | 824$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 639$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alexander Shevchenko | 2c | 628.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alexander Shevchenko | 6c | 589$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alexander Shevchenko | 10c | 534.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alexander Shevchenko | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Alexander Shevchenko | 19c | 499.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alexander Shevchenko | 8c | 491.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alexander Shevchenko | 7c | 462.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 332.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alexander Shevchenko | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 237.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Alexander Shevchenko | 20c | 203.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Alexander Shevchenko | 19c | 187.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Alexander Shevchenko | 17c | 174.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alexander Shevchenko | 9c | 174.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Alexander Shevchenko | 10c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 132.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alexander Shevchenko | 10c | 129.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Alexander Shevchenko | 16c | 124.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 120.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Alexander Shevchenko | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 98.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Alexander Shevchenko | 15c | 93.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alexander Shevchenko | 18c | 87.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…91e7backed Alexander Shevchenko | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Alexander Shevchenko | 17c | 60.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruudthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs RuudRuud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.