TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, LUA Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc67b…d35ebacked Barça eSports74c1,542$1,140 inWon+$401.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c56…78d1backed LUA Gaming26c1,516$394 inLost-$394.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked LUA Gaming29c206$60 inLost-$59.7424434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Barça eSports71c133.42$95 inWon+$38.692,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Barça eSports70c46.83$33 inWon+$141,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed LUA Gaming76c42.76$33 inLost-$32.6519342%81 W · 112 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Barça eSports69c25.81$18 inWon+$860243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Barça eSports75c21.75$16 inWon+$5.441,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Barça eSports71c15$11 inWon+$4.3518263.7%116 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.