TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LUA Gaming vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Barça eSportsof LUA Gaming, Barça eSports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,222 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff2…c175backed LUA Gaming17c2,010$346 inLost-$345.5541227.4%113 W · 299 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked LUA Gaming16c1,181$193 inLost-$193.4566942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed LUA Gaming16c999.96$160 inLost-$159.991,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LUA Gaming5c724.5$36 inLost-$36.231,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed LUA Gaming2c699.99$13 inLost-$131,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked LUA Gaming6c500$30 inLost-$30772.6%2 W · 75 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LUA Gaming4c488.27$22 inLost-$21.671,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LUA Gaming12c386$45 inLost-$45.262,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LUA Gaming18c370$67 inLost-$66.696350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed LUA Gaming6c363.27$22 inLost-$21.8432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-61.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LUA Gaming10c332$33 inLost-$33.22,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked LUA Gaming18c277.04$49 inLost-$48.5352149.9%260 W · 261 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed LUA Gaming16c218.75$35 inLost-$3529238.4%112 W · 180 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LUA Gaming9c138.81$13 inLost-$13.012,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35b…b542backed Barça eSports79c109.77$87 inWon+$23.054042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Barça eSports80c100$80 inWon+$2060943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked LUA Gaming10c100$10 inLost-$1045444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed LUA Gaming18c85.38$15 inLost-$14.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed LUA Gaming18c59.78$11 inLost-$10.7642450.5%214 W · 210 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.