TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LUA Gaming vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Barça eSportsof LUA Gaming, Barça eSports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,951 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LUA Gaming7c1,112$81 inLost-$81.041,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LUA Gaming9c558.73$52 inLost-$52.362,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed LUA Gaming11c555.4$58 inLost-$58.4240726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed LUA Gaming10c500$50 inLost-$509028.9%26 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed LUA Gaming10c454.55$45 inLost-$45.464122%9 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LUA Gaming8c441.23$35 inLost-$35.32,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c56…78d1backed LUA Gaming9c414.74$37 inLost-$37.331060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed LUA Gaming11c347.54$38 inLost-$38.2335442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LUA Gaming7c247.08$16 inLost-$16.321,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked LUA Gaming15c245.2$36 inLost-$35.8444846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed LUA Gaming9c200.26$18 inLost-$17.7317943.6%78 W · 101 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked LUA Gaming6c200$12 inLost-$1235435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed LUA Gaming11c200$21 inLost-$211758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked LUA Gaming10c181$18 inLost-$18.117241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed LUA Gaming10c170$16 inLost-$16.253932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b4…ebb0backed LUA Gaming10c113$11 inLost-$11.36358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed LUA Gaming11c100$11 inLost-$1127465.7%180 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b0…4d1ebacked LUA Gaming10c100$10 inLost-$108245.1%37 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.