Tennis · resolved market
ITF Florence: Anita Sahdiieva vs Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8224fe831e64556478d6a6a36e929cfef880494a4028e8f480d5b6c97a596962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anne-Christine Lutkemeyerof Anita Sahdiieva, Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anita Sahdiieva | 40c | 2,279$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.78 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 67c | 2,078$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.82 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Anita Sahdiieva | 35c | 783.51$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Anita Sahdiieva | 9c | 720.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 57c | 710.12$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 65c | 576$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Anita Sahdiieva | 45c | 373.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Anita Sahdiieva | 40c | 202.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 76c | 180.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Anita Sahdiieva | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 74c | 100.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anita Sahdiieva | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 51c | 99.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 57c | 98.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Anita Sahdiieva | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 56c | 72.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Anita Sahdiieva | 40c | 71.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Anita Sahdiieva | 45c | 70.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Anita Sahdiieva | 33c | 43.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Anita Sahdiieva | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 66c | 31.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 70c | 28.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Anita Sahdiieva | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Anita Sahdiieva | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.